Snowstorm Potential For The Weekend Grows |GardenStateWeather.Com

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Waking Up Weather/ Watches and Warnings/Traffic and Airport Delays

Sunrise Today 7:08AM/Sunset 5:13PM. (West Orange Civil Time)Waxing Gibbous Moon

Current Morning Model Runs continue the Winter Storm Threat for the weekend. Details tonight .

Today is Ground hog's day and whether or not this morning a shadow emerges from PA for the thousands of spectators or not,winter will continue in earnest here for the foreseeable future.

The weather over the next 24 hours will be a teaser of what will come at the end of the week. A trough and surface low racing up from off the Mid Atlantic will produce light snow and flurries over the forecast area this afternoon ..with a better chance of light snow accumulating upto an inch over the area overnight and Wednesday morning.

Temperatures will be seasonal as we go through Wednesday. Dry weather will result from Wednesday afternoon through Friday as High Pressure rebuilds over the forecast area. Clouds will increase on Friday and Rain and Snow could develop during the afternoon especially over the Southern Areas. The Winds will shift into the NE and increase as a very active and potentially heavy snow event unfolds for the Mid Atlantic corridor from DC upto NYC and the Southern New England area Friday night through Saturday.

The model output image to your right indicates good agreement now early on of a potentially heavy winter storm complete with strong winds and heavy snow could blanket the forecast area. Now this data is in agreement from all the models at this time and even the ensembles. With such a wealth of support going forth. It is prudent to mention that the period from Friday night through Saturday could feature a strong winter storm across the forecast area ..one with heavy snow banding across the southern sections and snow as well along the coast and into central and Northern NJ and the NYC metro areas depending on the track and intensity.

The modeling is now in agreement that the two streams will phase in a neutral to negative trough position over the mid Atlantic as the temperatures aloft cool and the spread of the precipitation becomes heavy in the snow growth regions of the clouds. It is way to early to pin down amounts and locations other than what I just mentioned .and as I said a couple of days ago..this week is going to be nail biting for forecasters.

I will be monitoring all of this as time allows..and it would go to figure that my work schedule is a hectic and long one this week. As a result I will try to add more to this through the day or tonight.

6-10 Day Weather Outlook Window Graphics(click on images to enlarge)