Strong Snowstorm Wednesday

Today's Graphics... Click on Images To Enlarge

Waking Up Weather/ Watches and Warnings/Traffic and Airport Delays Sunrise Today 7:01AM/Sunset 5:20PM. (West Orange Civil Time)Waning Crescent Moon After a needed break on Sunday and Today, the weather will once again present us with another snowfall impact during Wednesday. Below Seasonal Temperatures continue this morning especially over deep snow pack. The water vapor image below and to the right of you I have circled the two disturbances seen in the 2 jet streams across the USA. The Northern System is very potent and will be the one that initiates a coastal storm over the area on Wednesday. A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR ALL OUR AREAS STARTING LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUED INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING THURSDAY HPC WWD NUMBERS UP TO2 FEET ARE NOT OUT OF THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY, BUT FOR NOW NWS USED A STARTING POINT OF 14 TO18 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEYAND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. Forecast Discussion through the Week Ahead( Get ready)! A Forecaster or meteorologist has little time off any day of the year! Particularly in the Winter do we find any safe refuge from storms! For that matter the consequences of a sunny cold day have enough impact if they are coming off of a previous day's winter storm... And Yes ...ding...ding...ding! we have that! The image to your left is the approximate position of the the storm Track for Wednesday. The image to your Right is the 500 MB pattern aloft which clearly shows the Northern Branch disturbance closing off over the Delmarva area. The model output places a significant amount of precipitation across the area on Wednesday. Unlike the previous storm system I would like to draw your attention to two types of storms that are classified coastal storms over the Northeast Corridor. Named after James E. Miller a meteorologist who did extensive research in this area in the 1940s. In short, Miller's research has given meteorologists today a way of describing two different ways Mid-Atlantic storms form. He appropriately named them,"Miller A" and "Miller B" storms. A Miller A type snowstorm has a low which originates in the Gulf; it intensifies and races up the east coast. EX: Superstorm 1993, Blizzard of 1996. These tend to be more widespread in area BUT can be less favorable for historic snows in New England. However, they can clobber portions of the Mid-Atlantic. A Miller B type snowstorm has a primary low over the Appalachians while a new, secondary, and more powerful low spins up along the Gulf Stream waters off the coast of NC. It intensifies and depending on its track can clobber areas of inland or coastal New England. These are less widespread in terms of area and usually miss the Mid-Atlantic. EX: Blizzard of 2005.(this type of setup is forecasted is Forecasted for Wednesday) 6-10 Day Weather Outlook Window Graphics(click on images to enlarge) 8-14 Day ECMWF/GFS Ensembles Plus 14 Day GFS NAO and AO Forecasts 8-14 Day Weather Outlook Window Graphics(click on images to enlarge)